“This has been an unusual week. It began with a call from a former colleague requesting some quick assistance in designing counters to the latest Russian hydrocarbon trading moves. It ended with some of that advice making its way into proposals made by the US delegation in Brussels.”
“Unfortunately, in each of these military endeavors, emerging intel is telling the outside world that Russian military leaders are continuing to use raw recruits in combat situations with insufficient training and support. Some things, it seems, never change.”
“In such an environment, the Chinese will deflect when possible, agree when advisable, and look out for those occasions in which it can gain advantage by moving away from the primary focus of contention.”
“His efforts will ring solid these days. There will need to be those who take up what he did in an earlier war as the damaged young men return from Putin’s ill-advised assault on Ukraine.”
“’Analysts’ still largely regard such geopolitical events as insular, outliers, exceptions to the rule, one offs. They are not. Rather, such episodes are more the norm than most would want to conclude.”
“The real human impact is unfolding below what the media is showing.”
“Already having risen to more than 1.5 million and rapidly growing, the UN has proclaimed this the most acute European refugee crisis since World War II. But someplace else there is another stream of people leaving. These are not Ukrainians, they are Russians. And it is an indication of how quickly matters have changed.”
“Today, we are faced with a Cold War on steroids. The ‘outer limits’ of a burgeoning conflict are no longer clearly defined.”
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